具体描述
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
用户评价
##All currencies will devalue or go to zero eventually.
评分##语言平实朴素，适合有条件的初高中读者拿来作课外拓展读物
评分阐述了老子的朴素思想：祸兮福之所倚，福兮祸之所伏。
评分##No 2 of 2022. 五星好评，我愿意吹爆这本书。利用元旦假期读完这厚厚又沉甸甸的一本书，糅合了历史，政治和经济的趋势大轮廓总结，以一个上帝视角观察了过去几百年的轮回和曲线。撇开作者和中国的深厚友谊和关系，对历史的评价和对中国的理解还是很客观和深刻的，懂得历史的人能在对方角度去思考的人都是有大智慧的人，同时作者对中美关系的评价以及未来趋向发展也是足够理性的。除此之外，历史是复杂的，这种抽丝剥茧的概括不能诠释历史的全部，但至少让我们能够跳出自己的视野去更好的理解和观察这个世界，毕竟在时代的趋势下我们每个人都是渺小的灰尘。
评分##语言平实朴素，适合有条件的初高中读者拿来作课外拓展读物
评分##达利欧 "原则"系列的另一著作，格局非常宏大的一本书。 作者通过研究过去十几个世纪，主要着重笔墨在过去500年的荷兰帝国、大英帝国、现今的美国、以及快速崛起的中国的历史，用不同的维度指标来衡量帝国的兴衰。比如科技教育、货币资本市场、阶级对立、国内外政治环境等等来分析。个人基本赞同他的观点，只不过后面还有很多变数，大到他的计算机模型还是需要做很多调整。 作者在最后还给出了一些人生意见: whatever success I've had has been more due to my knowing how to deal with what I don't know than anything I know. 未雨绸缪总是没错。 全书读起来像和一位智者对话，和他的《原则》一样受益匪
评分##大历史角度写的国家和市场变迁，印象最深的有两条：如果20世纪初投资美英中法俄日荷意法奥10个国家的股债现金大类资产，其中7个国家的投资会清零（有些还不止一次）；作者篇尾预测中美未来十年军事冲突的可能是35%。。。
评分##All currencies will devalue or go to zero eventually.
评分##宏大的史观和抽丝剥茧后鞭辟入里的总结，非常值得一读。
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