具體描述
Two renowned investment advisors and authors of the bestseller The Great Reckoning bring to light both currents of disaster and the potential for prosperity and renewal in the face of radical changes in human history as we move into the next century. The Sovereign Individual details strategies necessary for adapting financially to the next phase of Western civilization.
Few observers of the late twentieth century have their fingers so presciently on the pulse of the global political and economic realignment ushering in the new millennium as do James Dale Davidson and Lord William Rees-Mogg. Their bold prediction of disaster on Wall Street in Blood in the Streets was borne out by Black Tuesday. In their ensuing bestsellar, The Great Reckoning, published just weeks before the coup attempt against Gorbachev, they analyzed the pending collapse of the Soviet Union and foretold the civil war in Yugoslavia and other events that have proved to be among the most searing developments of the past few years.
In The Sovereign Individual, Davidson and Rees-Mogg explore the greatest economic and political transition in centuries -- the shift from an industrial to an information-based society. This transition, which they have termed "the fourth stage of human society," will liberate individuals as never before, irrevocably altering the power of government. This outstanding book will replace false hopes and fictions with new understanding and clarified values.
用戶評價
##可能是這個時代最重要的幾本書之一，使用暴力迴報遞減作為主要分析框架。關於軟件業和Crypto的描述我很贊同，但是製造業/機械等行業信息化程度暫不瞭解。描述瞭一個非常宏大的picture:) 在這個picture裏SuperPower和Dictatorship將趨嚮於消失
評分 評分##前半部分對曆史的分析，對政府作為暴力組織形式的形成和變化由來說得非常精彩，論證詳實嚴密，非常引發人的思考，相比之下，確實後麵的預測有些過於天馬行空，缺乏前麵部分那樣的推理和論證。在97年，是很難預測到信息繭房的發生，預測到社交媒體對不同人群的觀點産生極化作用，從而導緻反全球化的。我覺得他描寫的確實是21世紀初大傢對互聯網和全球化的想象，我在當年也是帶著這種想象，全世界大同，去美國，去做互聯網的。不過也有一個可能，就是現在的反全球化也隻是短期的事件，從100年的尺度來看，他說的還是會繼續發生，我們在21世紀20年代經曆的反全球化，孤立主義，隻是在民族國傢消亡之前的現有政府組織形式的一個迴光返照過程。
評分 評分##在那個時代能想到這麼多確實很厲害瞭
評分##作為一個從小看好萊塢電影，聽日本流行音樂長大，操上海方言的人很容易接受這些概念。。。本書以難以想象的預見性，在1997年的成書時期預見瞭這些當下正在發生的內容。不過最近看到更多的是來自民族國傢的一波反擊。未來往哪裏走還很難說。
評分 評分##武斷的論點太多，係統紮實的論據太少，論證過程太不嚴密，無法令人舒適地認同。有不少想法很有意思，值得深挖和討論
評分相關圖書
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