Big Debt Crises epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
发表于2025-02-05
Big Debt Crises epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
Ray Dalio is the founder, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Co-Chairman of Bridgewater Associates. Bridgewater is a global asset manager and leader in institutional portfolio management as well as the largest hedge fund in the world. Under Ray s guidance, Bridgewater has developed a distinctive culture, an idea-meritocracy that produces meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical truth and radical transparency that is the foundation of the firm s success. Since starting Bridgewater out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York in 1975, Ray has grown the firm into the largest hedge fund in the world, the 5th most important company in the U.S. according to Fortune Magazine, and has led it to make more money for clients than any other hedge fund since its inception, according to LCH Investments. For his innovative work as well as being a valued advisor to many global policy makers, Ray has also been called the Steve Jobs of Investing by CIO Magazine and Wired Magazine, and been named one of TIME Magazine s 100 Most Influential People. Over the past three decades, he wrote down his decision-making criteria and has recently passed along his principles and tools through his book, Principles: Life & Work, a New York Times #1 Bestseller and Amazon #1 Business Book of 2017.
"Ray Dalio's excellent study provides an innovative way of thinking about debt crises and the policy response." - Ben Bernanke
"Ray Dalio's book is must reading for anyone who aspires to prevent or manage through the next financial crisis." - Larry Summers
"A terrific piece of work from one of the world's top investors who has devoted his life to understanding markets and demonstrated that understanding by navigating the 2008 financial crisis well." - Hank Paulson
"An outstanding history of financial crises, including the devastating crisis of 2008, with a very valuable framework for understanding why the engine of the financial system occasionally breaks down, and what types of policy actions by central banks and governments are necessary to resolve systemic financial crises. This should serve as a play book for future policy makers, with practical guidance about what to do and what not to do." - Tim Geithner
On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, one of the world's most successful investors, Ray Dalio, shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate events and navigate them well while others struggled badly.
As he explained in his #1 New York Times Bestseller, Principles: Life & Work, Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying their patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind them and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this 3-part research series, he does that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future.
The template comes in three parts provided in three books: 1) The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template), 2) 3 Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930's Great Depression, and the 1920's inflationary depression of Germany's Weimar Republic), and 3) Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years). Whether you're an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested, the unconventional perspective of one of the few people who navigated the crises successfully, A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
Big Debt Crises epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
Big Debt Crises 下载 epub mobi pdf txt 电子书 2025Big Debt Crises mobi pdf epub txt 电子书 下载 2025
Big Debt Crises epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载##这本书是深刻却又浅显好懂的经典。 说他浅显,是因为Ray Dilio从来都很少使用专业的经济学、金融学术语,分析问题也不是建立在经典的经济教材的理论框架上。他一直都是从基本的常识出发,基于逻辑论证,演绎出一个用来观察宏观问题的理论框架。这里说的常识包括:借钱有助于提...
评分##先读为敬
评分 评分 评分##历经两年多终于读完,是一本crisis的辞典,工具书。1)危机并不是由单一因素引发,而是有结构性的问题。所以“下一个危机不定是什么东西引发的”并不在理。及时诱因有一个,但是根本上还是结构性的。2)学习到了cycle的back-end logic,在介绍部分 3)管理者manage危机的好与坏很大程度决定危机的破坏性 4) 泡沫破裂往往始于rate raise 5)泡沫破裂不一定有准确原因,只要购买之力枯竭即会破裂 6) deleveraging初期容易低估downturn的持续性,造成小规模的rally 7)危机的政治后果可能比经济后果还大,大很多 8)depression里市场会时常随着政策动向而报复性反弹,因为大家会exaggerate相对较小的事情
评分 评分##魏玛共和国和29年大萧条的例子非常清晰。学了这么多年二战史,竟然是看了dalio的书之后才终于明白了一直不明白的事。算是一个意外的收获。在理论方面,dalio的模型其实没有什么特殊的。只是更量化统一的说明了,在危机时放水时必须的,货币贬值是必须的。其他的道德和政治争议,比如放水是不是便宜了黑心资本家,比如说是不是要给政府或银行一个教训,这些争论都要往后放。因为在当下,这些因素都只会让经济每况愈下,无法回复。但他整理的历史也侧面说明了,在真实世界里,做“正确的放水决定”是很困难的,政策执行人常常会反复,所以一旦进入危机周期,每一次不彻底的政策带来的部分反弹,都难掩整体的下行趋势。
评分Big Debt Crises epub pdf mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025