Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
##副標題:《原則》作者新書,又對中國有話說 本文首發於微信公眾號“花和尚的跑馬地”—《[全球最大對衝基金創始人告訴你1400年的“大周期”]》 下麵對於未來10年的預測裏有讓你睏惑的嗎? 1. 未來10年,世界上爆發大戰的可能性是35% 2. 美國處於自身周期約70%的位置,在未來10...
評分##時至今日,所有關於趨勢的論述都不能脫離曆史數據的演繹,在長周期內尋找錨點一直以來都是考證某種觀點的必然途徑,所有一切的發展都是有跡可循的,現在發生的某段進程都很可能是過去某段進程在不同階段的重復和體現,可能隻有細節不同而已。 為什麼要在長周期內探討很多問題的...
評分 評分 評分 評分##自薦一波我朗讀的英文原版有聲書~求輕拍哈哈~B站 https://b23.tv/QUb3eJU
評分 評分 評分##債務周期視角下的世界秩序
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