The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來英文原版 [平裝] pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載 2025

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb（納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布）著

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齣版社： Random House

ISBN：9780812973815

商品編碼：19016952

包裝：平裝

叢書名： Incerto

齣版時間：2010-05-11

用紙：膠版紙

頁數：480

正文語種：英文

商品尺寸：21.84x11.43x2.54cm

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The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.