The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

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The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

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編輯推薦

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.

內容簡介

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

作者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

精彩書評

"Idiosyncratically brilliant."
——Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] epub pdf mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025

The Black Swan 黑天鵝:如何應對不可預知的未來 英文原版 [平裝] 下載 epub mobi pdf txt 電子書

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先用一段時間後在來評價

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為什麼是升級版呢？

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奇怪的名字，感覺有點牽強，不知道何時都開始硬套這種動物名稱瞭，有意義麼？我看未必。

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哈哈哈哈紅紅火火恍恍惚惚

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買來送人，有瑕疵，不滿意

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到時候住酒店的時候和前颱說清楚住幾天，因為幫你們定的時候是到28日，你們要去熱帶風暴，所以住到27離店

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送貨快，包裝好，價格便宜。

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書寫的感覺一般，我翻翻看看的，內容很囉嗦，其實隻要一篇論文就可以說清楚瞭，不知道老外怎麼喜歡寫這麼多話。3分。

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這本書難得打摺，送貨快！

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