From a prizewinning economic historian, an eye-opening reinterpretation of the 2008 economic crisis (and its ten-year aftermath) as a global event that directly led to the shockwaves being felt around the world today.
In September 2008 President George Bush could still describe the financial crisis as an incident local to Wall Street. In fact it was a dramatic caesura of global significance that spiraled around the world, from the financial markets of the UK and Europe to the factories and dockyards of Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, forcing a rearrangement of global governance. In the United States and Europe, it caused a fundamental reconsideration of capitalist democracy, eventually leading to the war in the Ukraine, the chaos of Greece, Brexit, and Trump.
It was the greatest crisis to have struck Western societies since the end of the Cold War, but was it inevitable? And is it over? Crashed is a dramatic new narrative resting on original themes: the haphazard nature of economic development and the erratic path of debt around the world; the unseen way individual countries and regions are linked together in deeply unequal relationships through financial interdependence, investment, politics, and force; the ways the financial crisis interacted with the spectacular rise of social media, the crisis of middle-class America, the rise of China, and global struggles over fossil fuels.
Finally, Tooze asks, given this history, what now are the prospects for a liberal, stable, and coherent world order?
##對我來說還是有點難讀。過去二十年中國嵌入世界經濟體係,真正脫鈎是很難的。中美關係絕非僅僅是對抗,frienemy 也許更準確。如遇大危機,中美除瞭閤作彆無其它可能。高通脹使得美國不可能擺脫中國,外貿為主的結構也讓中國無法脫鈎世界。
評分##看起來有點吃力,細節有點多。全麵迴顧2008年到18年十年的經濟政治變局。美國受次級債的影響,第一波全球危機,美聯儲及財政部聯手提供流動性,暫時穩定經濟。在此階段危機中華爾街,美國金融機構受創嚴重,但歐洲金融金融機構受創也很嚴重,主要是大規模藉美元貸美元,承受比美國金融機構更大的壓力。隨著美國經濟的萎縮,帶來歐洲各國經濟的萎縮,特彆是東歐各國,歐洲銀行深度介入東歐各國,經濟的崩潰,帶來歐洲金融機構的二次大危機。快十年的財政收縮及經濟低迷帶來瞭保護主義,經濟危機後十年美國更不均衡的財富分配,受損的白人藍領推選瞭特朗普,世界進入一個大變局時代,柏林牆後將近二三十年的和平與全球化紅利將可能消失。
評分##過去十年最好的曆史書之一吧
評分##講中國那一章,因為我自己這大半年來開始接觸債券一級市場的緣故,聽得毛骨悚然又醍醐灌頂。現在是沒賺到錢,倘若以後賺到瞭錢,也高興不起來。中國的錢花在十八綫縣城的雙嚮八車道大馬路上,實體經濟卻一點點在凋敝。時間進入到三月末,全球大放水,3年後A股爆雷潮預定
評分##Coming up with an outline in the next few days
評分##Read Intro, and chapters 1, 6, 7, 10. Not a big fan of 2008 financial crisis though. Chris
評分##08年美國金融危機之後發生瞭許多國際大事:比如特朗普當選美國總統、烏剋蘭衝突、希臘主權危機為開端的歐債危機、英國脫歐、全球民粹主義興起等。本書結閤瞭08年以後全球經濟、政治、地緣政治探討瞭世界經濟的運行機製。宏觀經濟學建立在凱恩斯對民族國傢、國傢生産體係和它們之間貿易不平衡上。但如今全球化經濟讓凱恩斯經濟學在解釋08年以後事件顯得不足:推動國際貿易的不再是國傢經濟體之間的關係,而是協調廣泛的“價值鏈”的大型跨國企業。貨幣、信貸和金融機構是由政治權力、社會慣例和法律構成的。現代銀行係統的脆弱性根源:它是全球性的,又是基於美元的,這意味著美聯儲的貨幣政策是全球性的,但是美聯儲隻對美國負責。金融危機看似宏觀經濟問題,但實際上是傳統貨幣政策工具的危機,同樣也是現代政治危機。
評分##過去十年最好的曆史書之一吧
評分##Read Intro, and chapters 1, 6, 7, 10. Not a big fan of 2008 financial crisis though. Chris
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