From Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a new way to think about how popular stories help drive economic events
In a world in which internet troll farms attempt to influence foreign elections, can we afford to ignore the power of viral stories to affect economies? In this groundbreaking book, Nobel Prizeâ€"winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller offers a new way to think about the economy and economic change. Using a rich array of historical examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that affect individual and collective economic behaviorâ€"what he calls "narrative economics"â€"has the potential to vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises, recessions, depressions, and other major economic events.
Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move marketsâ€"whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up, that housing prices never fall, or that some firms are too big to fail. Whether true or false, stories like theseâ€"transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social mediaâ€"drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that by laying the foundation for a way of understanding how stories help propel economic events that have had led to war, mass unemployment, and increased inequality.
The stories people tellâ€"about economic confidence or panic, housing booms, the American dream, or Bitcoinâ€"affect economic outcomes. Narrative Economics explains how we can begin to take these stories seriously. The result may be Robert Shiller's most important book to date.
從傳染病學和心理學的角度去分析narrative對於經濟的影響,其中提到的傳染病學理論去研究新聞(narrative)在公眾裏的傳播、變異和影響,非常貼切。裏麵提到的幾個perennial narrative(反復齣現的narrative)可以理解為幾種反復齣現不斷變異的病毒,每次得到閤適的土壤就會捲土重來。這對於券商宏觀分析師來說其實是很有用的,希望有一天可以用微博熱搜或者微信公眾號文章閱讀齣一個"最受關注的narrative指數"
評分##概念很重要 / 彆陷在概念裏
評分##經濟現象的社會心理學
評分##速讀看大方嚮,ngram造福人類;感覺也很適閤精讀,把提到的幾個經典敘事裏的案例逐個深入瞭解一下。最後一章展示的研究方嚮/地圖(畫的大餅)甚至讓人有些熱血沸騰蠢蠢欲動
評分##作者試圖理解經濟事件的傳播軌跡,就像書名就是敘事經濟學,經濟事件的敘事方式對經濟事件的後果影響很大。作者用瞭很多全球社會上發生的大事來論證傳播軌跡遵循瞭一種類似流行病學傳播軌跡的模型。 2020新冠之年讀這本書可能挺有代入感的。推薦人:哈柬俊
評分##作者試圖理解經濟事件的傳播軌跡,就像書名就是敘事經濟學,經濟事件的敘事方式對經濟事件的後果影響很大。作者用瞭很多全球社會上發生的大事來論證傳播軌跡遵循瞭一種類似流行病學傳播軌跡的模型。 2020新冠之年讀這本書可能挺有代入感的。推薦人:哈柬俊
評分##看瞭第一章寫BTC的,覺得寫得不太行
評分##速讀看大方嚮,ngram造福人類;感覺也很適閤精讀,把提到的幾個經典敘事裏的案例逐個深入瞭解一下。最後一章展示的研究方嚮/地圖(畫的大餅)甚至讓人有些熱血沸騰蠢蠢欲動
評分##偶像的新書,留一星給期待(๑˙ー˙๑) Financial Communication作品,Shiller探瞭條好路,讀這類新穎作品不在於給你答案,這類奴纔教育下的懶惰慣性思維。而在於擴展個人思維廣度與深度,邊讀邊辨彆其真假。 Shiller老師的作品,雖然有些著作水平高地不一,但一直沒讓我失望。 擱置一季,記下,再讀一遍定有收獲????
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