Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Epigraph
WHEN AM I GOING TO USE THIS?
PART I
Linearity
One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN
Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY
Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE
Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS?
Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE
PART II
Inference
Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE
Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS
Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY
Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY
Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE
PART III
Expectation
Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY
Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES!
Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET
PART IV
Regression
Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY
Fifteen. GALTON’S ELLIPSE
Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES?
PART V
Existence
Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION
Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE”
HOW TO BE RIGHT
Acknowledgments
Notes
Index
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具体描述
The Freakonomics of math—a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands
The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn’t confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do—the whole world is shot through with it.
Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It’s a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does “public opinion” really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?
用户评价
作者Ellenbery开始将数学由简单到复杂，解决问题由简单到复杂分成四象限，该书着重讲述简单数学解决复杂问题这个象限。内容从古希腊人无理数的发现，圆周率的计算，概率统计与投资，与彩票设计，几何结构与通信编码，Fisher的假设检验与Neumann的回归分析的争论，Shannon的通信原理，投票选举中的Condorcet 悖论，Condor的提出以数学定量分析的社会科学推动社会前进。整个书涉猎数学范围很广并且与当今社会的空间通信编码，经济，金融投资，社会发展紧密联系，非常好。
评分##李克忠思想法，看着玩玩还行。有些插科打诨，比如说George是真·cutest Beatle，还是很好玩的。
评分##作者把数学根据simple-complicated VS shallow-profound分成四部分，旨在讲述profound and simple的部分，燃鹅私以为失败了。数学那么广大，统计概率部分确实是如书中所说是人们比较有intuition的部分，所以也比较晚加入正式的数学体系，也自然成了此书为了让数学贴近生活的重点，应用统计的话不如看chance rule。感觉这本四不像。不过能感到作者对数学的满腔热忱，想感染大众，心领了????
评分##作为消遣类的数学科普读读，还是很不错的。虽然有些章节确实有点啰嗦，但是偶尔点缀的小幽默也算是可以消解掉那些啰嗦了。
评分##2016.07.24 - 2016.09.15 Summer Read
评分##statistical inference科普
评分##能把数学尤其是统计学讲得这么生动也是不易，这是一本可以当故事书看的数学书。
评分##还算不错的数学小书，不过应该是我数学不好的缘故
评分##多好的一本给大家科普数学的书，起这么个鸡汤名。看到有人的评论，“数学部分还是没有耐心去看，但是里面讲到的思维在生活中非常受用。” 忽然又明白为什么要起这样的名字了。proof才是最好看的部分好吗！妈的没有耐心你看什么数学书！
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