具體描述
The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology
奇點臨近
One of CBS News’s Best Fall Books of 2005
Among St Louis Post-Dispatch’s Best Nonfiction Books of 2005
One of .com’s Best Science Books of 2005
一部預測人工智能和科技未來的奇書。
在《奇點臨近》中，庫茲韋爾通過將進化劃分為六大紀元，探討和分析瞭科學發展趨勢。
《奇點臨近》論述嚴謹，案例豐富，深入闡釋瞭“奇點”作為一種思潮，其在世界範圍內所産生的廣泛影響，並介紹瞭其在哲學、科學、技術、藝術等各個方麵所展示的獨特魅力。
作者：Ray Kurzweil
齣版社: Penguin Books (2006年9月26日)
外文書名: 奇點迫近:當人類生物學限度
平裝: 672頁
語種： 英語
ISBN: 0143037889
條形碼: 9780143037880
商品尺寸: 15.2 x 3.5 x 23.2 cm
商品重量: 658 g
在《奇點臨近》中，庫茲韋爾通過將進化劃分為六大紀元，探討和分析瞭科學發展趨勢。演繹並預測瞭科技發展的未來。他大膽預測：
21世紀30年代：人類大腦信息上傳成為可能
21世紀40年代：人體3.0升級版齣現：通過基因、納米、機器人技術使人體進化成非肉體的、可以隨意變形的形態。人們大多數時間沉浸在虛擬現實裏（像電影《黑客帝國》所描述的那樣）。
2045年：奇點來臨，人工智能完全人類智能，人類曆史將徹底改變。
2045年之後：宇宙覺醒，為瞭計算機的局限性。人機智能將物質轉化為超級計算機，*終整個宇宙變成一個超級智能，這種智能可以改變目前已知的物理定律。實現不同維度空間的穿越，並實現人類真正的永生。
讓我們捧讀這《奇點臨近》，領略作者的大膽推測和嚴謹論證，共同期待奇點臨近
內容簡介
For over three decades, Ray Kurzweil has been one of the most respected and provocative advocates of the role of technology in our future. In his classic The Age of Spiritual Machines, he argued that computers would soon rival the full range of human intelligence at its best. Now he examines the next step in this inexorable evolutionary process: the union of human and machine, in which the knowledge and skills embedded in our brains will be combined with the vastly greater capacity, speed, and knowledge-sharing ability of our creations.
《奇點臨近》是一本有思維方法論啓示的書；是一本站在曆史的高度，正麵思考科技力量的書；是一本充滿想象與預言，但又不失科學論證的書。《奇點臨近》提供瞭一個嶄新的視角：21世紀既是數百年以來科技、創意的頂點，又是對人類命運真摯的願景。
《奇點臨近》特點：奇特與警示的結論，書中六個紀元的劃分奇特又富於哲理；嚴謹與獨特的論述方法，通過分析科學發展趨勢，演繹並預測未來；警世之語與探討性對話，通過智者的眼睛去審視自然、科學以及世界；章尾與未來的對話，是一種思想的博弈：通過設想中的未來去理解當今的技術發展和進化中的人類。
正版內頁掃描圖
媒體推薦
A pleasure to read. -- The Wall Street Journal
Artfully envisions a breathtakingly better world. -- Los Angeles Times
Startling in scope and bravado. -- Janet Maslin, The New York Times
The best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence -- Bill Gates
“Anyone can grasp Mr. Kurzweil’s main idea: that mankind’s technological knowledge has been snowballing, with dizzying prospects for the future. The basics are clearly expressed. But for those more knowledgeable and inquisitive, the author argues his case in fascinating detail…. The Singularity Is Near is startling in scope and bravado.”
—Janet Maslin, The New York Times
“Filled with imaginative, scientifically grounded speculation…. The Singularity Is Near is worth reading just for its wealth of information, all lucidly presented…. [It’s] an important book. Not everything that Kurzweil predicts may come to pass, but a lot of it will, and even if you don’t agree with everything he says, it’s all worth paying attention to.”
—The Philadelphia Inquirer
“[An] exhilarating and terrifyingly deep look at where we are headed as a species…. Mr. Kurzweil is a brilliant scientist and futurist, and he makes a compelling and, indeed, a very moving case for his view of the future.”
—The New York Sun
“Compelling.”
—San Jose Mercury News
“Kurzweil links a projected ascendance of artificial intelligence to the future of the evolutionary process itself. The result is both frightening and enlightening…. The Singularity Is Near is a kind of encyclopedic map of what Bill Gates once called ‘the road ahead.’”
—The Oregonian
“A clear-eyed, sharply-focused vision of the not-so-distant future.”
—The Baltimore Sun
“This book offers three things that will make it a seminal document. 1) It brokers a new idea, not widely known, 2) The idea is about as big as you can get: the Singularity—all the change in the last million years will be superceded by the change in the next five minutes, and 3) It is an idea that demands informed response. The book’s claims are so footnoted, documented, graphed, argued, and plausible in small detail, that it requires the equal in response. Yet its claims are so outrageous that if true, it would mean … well … the end of the world as we know it, and the beginning of utopia. Ray Kurzweil has taken all the strands of the Singularity meme circulating in the last decades and has united them into a single tome which he has nailed on our front door. I suspect this will be one of the most cited books of the decade. Like Paul Ehrlich’s upsetting 1972 book Population Bomb, fan or foe, it’s the wave at epicenter you have to start with.”
—Kevin Kelly, founder of Wired
“Really, really out there. Delightfully so.”
—Businessweek.com
“Stunning, utopian vision of the near future when machine intelligence outpaces the biological brain and what things may look like when that happens…. Approachable and engaging.”
—the unofficial Microsoft blog
“One of the most important thinkers of our time, Kurzweil has followed up his earlier works … with a work of startling breadth and audacious scope.”
—newmediamusings.com
“An attractive picture of a plausible future.”
—Kirkus Reviews
“Kurzweil is a true scientist—a large-minded one at that…. What’s arresting isn’t the degree to which Kurzweil’s heady and bracing vision fails to convince—given the scope of his projections, that’s inevitable—but the degree to which it seems downright plausible.”
—Publishers Weekly (starred review)
“[T]hroughout this tour de force of boundless technological optimism, one is impressed by the author’s adamantine intellectual integrity…. If you are at all interested in the evolution of technology in this century and its consequences for the humans who are creating it, this is certainly a book you should read.”
—John Walker, inventor of Autodesk, in Fourmilab Change Log
“Ray Kurzweil is the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence. His intriguing new book envisions a future in which information technologies have advanced so far and fast that they enable humanity to transcend its biological limitations—transforming our lives in ways we can’t yet imagine.”
—Bill Gates
“If you have ever wondered about the nature and impact of the next profound discontinuities that will fundamentally change the way we live, work, and perceive our world, read this book. Kurzweil’s Singularity is a tour de force, imagining the unimaginable and eloquently exploring the coming disruptive events that will alter our fundamental perspectives as significantly as did electricity and the computer.”
—Dean Kamen, recipient of the National Medal of Technology,
physicist, and inventor of the first wearable insulin pump, the
HomeChoice portable dialysis machine, the IBOT Mobility
System, and the Segway Human Transporter
“One of our leading AI practitioners, Ray Kurzweil, has once again created a ‘must read’ book for anyone interested in the future of science, the social impact of technology, and indeed the future of our species. His thought-provoking book envisages a future in which we transcend our biological limitations, while making a compelling case that a human civilization with superhuman capabilities is closer at hand than most people realize.”
—Raj Reddy, founding director of the Robotics Institute at
Carnegie Mellon University and recipient of the Turing Award
from the Association for Computing Machinery
“Ray’s optimistic book well merits both reading and thoughtful response. For those like myself whose views differ from Ray’s on the balance of promise and peril, The Singularity Is Near is a clear call for a continuing dialogue to address the greater concerns arising from these accelerating possibilities.”
—Bill Joy, cofounder and former chief scientist, Sun Microsystems
雷?庫茲韋爾是我所知道的預測人工智能未來的人。他的這本耐人尋味的書預測未來信息技術得到空前發展，將促使人類自身的生物極限——以我們無法想象的方式我們的生命。
——比爾?蓋茨
這是一本卓越的書，講述瞭我們這個時代傑齣的預言學傢對未來的深刻見地。
——馬文?明斯基，麻省理工學院媒體藝術與科學係教授
閱讀本書，你將驚嘆於人類發展進程中下一個意義深遠的飛躍，它從根本上改變瞭人類的生活、工作以及感知世界的方式。庫茲韋爾的奇點是一個壯舉，以不可思議的想象力和雄辯論述瞭即將發生的顛覆性事件，它將像電和計算機一樣從根本上改變我們的觀念。
——迪安?卡門，物理學傢
本書對科技發展持樂觀的態度，值得閱讀並引人深思。對於那些像我這樣對“承諾與風險的平衡”這一問題的看法與庫茲韋爾不同的人來說，本書進一步明確瞭需要通過對話的方式來解決由於科技加速發展而引發的諸多問題。
——比爾?喬伊，SUN公司創始人，前首席科學傢
作者簡介
Ray Kurzweil is one of the world’s leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a twenty-year track record of accurate predictions. Called “the restless genius” by The Wall Street Journal and “the ultimate thinking machine” by Forbes magazine, Kurzweil was selected as one of the top entrepreneurs by Inc. magazine, which described him as the “rightful heir to Thomas Edison.” PBS selected him as one of “sixteen revolutionaries who made America,” along with other inventors of the past two centuries. An inductee into the National Inventors Hall of Fame and recipient of the National Medal of Technology, the Lemelson-MIT Prize (the world’s largest award for innovation), thirteen honorary doctorates, and awards from three U.S. presidents, he is the author of four previous books: Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever (coauthored with Terry Grossman, M.D.), The Age of Spiritual Machines, The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life, and The Age of Intelligent Machines.
雷·庫茲韋爾：發明傢、思想傢、預言學傢，他用20餘年的時間記錄和追溯曆史的發展軌跡，以預測未來。他被《華爾街日報》譽為“永不滿足的天纔”，被《福布斯》雜誌譽為“終的思考機器”，被《Inc．》雜誌稱為“托馬斯·愛迪生的法定繼承人”。他還入選瞭美國國傢發明名人堂，是美國國傢科技奬章獲得者，Lemelson—MIT大奬(世界上重要的發明奬)獲奬者。擁有13項榮譽博士頭銜，曾經獲得3位總統嘉奬。
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