具体描述
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
用户评价
##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
评分##国家危机的状况解释和背景分析等都很不错，可作者一心想要把归纳总结历史事件当作社会科学来做定量分析这点难以接受，还一直说数据找变量，作为生理学家的基本素养呢？不过作者估计也不是正统的搞科学的，不然也不会写这么多文化相关的书。
评分不愧是Jared Diamond，以独到新颖的角度，用个人类比国家以此更形象深刻地理解危机的概念和影响，并用12个与危机产生结果有关的因素构成的框架很全面深入地剖析7个国家和全世界遭遇的不同危机和相应应对措施，预示未来潜在的危机，提议更严谨详细的量化研究和通过对历史经验的学习更好地应对危机，叙述通俗易懂诙谐幽默；第9章对美国的剖析中涉及到与中国的比较将两国的优缺点都列举出来，国内若引进估计不会完整保留。
评分不愧是Jared Diamond，以独到新颖的角度，用个人类比国家以此更形象深刻地理解危机的概念和影响，并用12个与危机产生结果有关的因素构成的框架很全面深入地剖析7个国家和全世界遭遇的不同危机和相应应对措施，预示未来潜在的危机，提议更严谨详细的量化研究和通过对历史经验的学习更好地应对危机，叙述通俗易懂诙谐幽默；第9章对美国的剖析中涉及到与中国的比较将两国的优缺点都列举出来，国内若引进估计不会完整保留。
评分##华沙一跪的Willy Brandt，出过大丑闻。他本身就有强烈的Socialist倾向，身边重要幕僚还是东德间谍，并且还陷入过性丑闻（美人计间谍）。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI还是跪舔华约，值得讨论。
评分##华沙一跪的Willy Brandt，出过大丑闻。他本身就有强烈的Socialist倾向，身边重要幕僚还是东德间谍，并且还陷入过性丑闻（美人计间谍）。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI还是跪舔华约，值得讨论。
评分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
评分##危机处理的框架对于深度分析作用其实不是很大，更像一本专栏合集。也许是期待太高吧。
评分##类比个人对危机应对，以此为框架看国家的危机应对，听起来有点民科但却也确实带来不少洞见。分析的例子中，有国内大家较为熟悉的如日本明治维新、德国二战后重建与两德统一，也有至少我个人不熟悉的如芬兰与苏联的冬季战争、澳大利亚的身份认同危机、智利的军政府政变等，还是很涨见识的。全书最后谈当下美国所面临的危机也顺便讨论了与中国的冲突，可惜局限于美国视角只能讲一些老生常谈的点，像贫富差距、左右党争之类，若是能站在中国的角度写当下的危机应该会有意思得多吧。当今朝廷强调“底线思维”，算是抛弃了幻想，做着最坏的打算最好的准备；按照书中框架衡量，这样是否真能做到承担责任，明确问题，准确评估自我，且保有足够耐心，就只能在多年后由历史评述了。
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