In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
##12 factors to overcome crisis, example of 7 countries. Outlook for the next crisis in japan, US and the world. Do key leaders change history?
评分##《剧变》
评分##《剧变》
评分##One strong feeling is that having the form of countries as today, it seems inherent to have a world full of conflicts; ps, wish we can also have a similar self-reflection...pps, would't it be the case that emphasizing national identity may lead to nationalism?
评分##这本书从个人的crisis出发,谈了国家层面的crisis,讲这个国家发生的历史,它的优势劣势,再按照factors related to the outcomes of national crises来谈论各个国家遇到的危机,我感觉历史的内容和很多角度都非常新颖。例如其中提到的geopolitical factor使得一些国家不可避免卷入争斗中。他对几个社会的问题的提出也很有总结性,我觉得Jared Diamond的书还是要边看边做笔记,因为信息量很大,而框架性又比较强,所以还是适合有笔记帮助自己理解这本书。这本书也是值得再读的。
评分##非常应景的一本书。一位80+睿智老者,结合自身经历、见闻和研究,娓娓道来国家应如何应对危机。开篇以如何处理个人危机为例,讲了危机处理的几个步骤,很重要的一个点是:确立危机的边界。不要一个方面出现问题,误以为全线崩溃。接着以作者孰知/会当地语言的六国近代史为例,各个国家又是如何从国家角度化解危机。比较熟悉的日本明治维新,不常读到的芬兰、智利、印尼三国的近现代史令人耳目一新。以及德国的自我审判、自我反思也很有意思,包括他们六十年代不成功的学生运动成功推动了原本爹气十足的社会民主开明化。最后分析美国优势和存在问题,如政治两极化,预测其、日本和世界未来的危机会出现在哪里。还涉及到“伟人”能从多大程度影响历史进程。未来的世界危机,除了常见的议题能源短缺、气候变化、核危机、不平等...还有:传染病
评分##作者从个人应对危机的心理治疗方法中总结出12个与危机相关的因素,将其扩展到应对国家危机乃至全球危机上。本书的主题:个人、团体、企业、国家、乃至世界都有面临危机和压力的时候。危机可能来自外部,也可能来自内部。不管来自外部或内部都需要选择性地进行改变,对国家和个人来说都是如此。个人觉得本书在第八章后渐入佳境,分别讨论了日本,美国,和全球可以预见的危机问题。英文版中对中国的评价务实,中文版有删节。
评分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
评分##Diamond写这本书的时候82岁了——他在书里自己说的,他不说我还不知道,总以为他才六十来岁,然后自己吓了一跳,原来看Germs,guns and steel已经是十年前的事了。很显然,82岁的Diamond写这本书的时候,想着的是“要给地球留下点什么”。这本书讲不同国家应对危机的方式,举了七个不同程度上成功应对危机的例子,而最后两章关于现代的日本和美国,则是结局还未见分晓。最后一部分,则从国家扩展到整个人类所面对的危机。我的感想:1)一直觉得Diamond太啰嗦,这本书居然并不让我厌烦,大概每个国家的故事都讲得清楚,有新的知识点;2)具体故事比作者隆重推出的应对危机12点要好看,12点不是不好,但没有什么让人醍醐灌顶的新意。3)既然不觉得这本书啰嗦,我决定把之前没看完的上一本再翻出来。
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