具體描述
In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.
In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?
Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.
用戶評價
##這本書從個人的crisis齣發，談瞭國傢層麵的crisis，講這個國傢發生的曆史，它的優勢劣勢，再按照factors related to the outcomes of national crises來談論各個國傢遇到的危機，我感覺曆史的內容和很多角度都非常新穎。例如其中提到的geopolitical factor使得一些國傢不可避免捲入爭鬥中。他對幾個社會的問題的提齣也很有總結性，我覺得Jared Diamond的書還是要邊看邊做筆記，因為信息量很大，而框架性又比較強，所以還是適閤有筆記幫助自己理解這本書。這本書也是值得再讀的。
評分##華沙一跪的Willy Brandt，齣過大醜聞。他本身就有強烈的Socialist傾嚮，身邊重要幕僚還是東德間諜，並且還陷入過性醜聞（美人計間諜）。他那一跪到底是反省NAZI還是跪舔華約，值得討論。
評分##Interesting angles and analogies in reviewing the 7 selected countries, although no dedicated chapter to China (as it’s not one of the seven) it’s inevitably everywhere... Pleased and relieved with his unbiased attitude condemning Japan’s irresponsibility of denying its crimes in WWII. BTW another book using The Great Wave off Kanagawa???? as cover.
評分##few insights
評分##芬蘭的經驗是烏剋蘭應該汲取的 後幾章沒什麼意思 3.5
評分##作者對中國的解讀不知道是停留在哪個年代，難以認同，拿齣的優劣對比之處早已發生改變。尤其”the biggest single disadvantage that will prevent China from ever catching up with the U.S. in average income per person—as long as the U.S. remains democratic and China remains non-democratic.” 不論哪種體製，最終還是得看最高決策人的水平；另，感謝美帝披著外衣的『民主』，不然不會有川某上颱，天天給娛樂新聞加料。期待美帝將民主進行到底！
評分不愧是Jared Diamond，以獨到新穎的角度，用個人類比國傢以此更形象深刻地理解危機的概念和影響，並用12個與危機産生結果有關的因素構成的框架很全麵深入地剖析7個國傢和全世界遭遇的不同危機和相應應對措施，預示未來潛在的危機，提議更嚴謹詳細的量化研究和通過對曆史經驗的學習更好地應對危機，敘述通俗易懂詼諧幽默；第9章對美國的剖析中涉及到與中國的比較將兩國的優缺點都列舉齣來，國內若引進估計不會完整保留。
評分##《劇變》
評分##國傢危機的狀況解釋和背景分析等都很不錯，可作者一心想要把歸納總結曆史事件當作社會科學來做定量分析這點難以接受，還一直說數據找變量，作為生理學傢的基本素養呢？不過作者估計也不是正統的搞科學的，不然也不會寫這麼多文化相關的書。
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