具體描述
基本信息
書名：Creating Megatrends：The Belt and Road
定價：68.00元
作者：Doris,Naisbitt,John,Naisbitt,Laurence ..
齣版社：中華工商聯閤齣版社
齣版日期：2017-09-01
ISBN：9787515820675
字數：
頁碼：216
版次：1
裝幀：精裝
開本：16開
商品重量：0.4kg
編輯推薦
內容提要
China's Belt and Road Initiative is a project of unprecedented scale.
Neverthelcss， know[edge about the potitico[， ocoriomir nnd rcjltural goals and opportunities are Lagging behind.
Creating Megatrends presents the narrative of the chances and risks iChina's Belt and Road Initiative. Ithe past， Large shifts ieconomic. technological and social developments have resulted from trends and ideas beginning bottom up icities and Loca[ munities. finally forming a Megatrend. No one was icharge. China's Belt and Road Initiative goes the opposite way.
China's Initiative offers the strategic framework of reinventing globalization， orchestrated， but Leaving space to maneuver for all p.irticipants. The underlying principal is sharing： China's owexponce， its economic Succoss story of developing through investments iroad.rait and port works，and smart ec o[ogical citics. It is working with nations， involving advanced technologies， management experience. It is stabililing Volatile reqions and COuntrics by helping thcm to find their owapproach to progress and development.
Belt and Road Initiative is creating the infrastructure and connectivity needed to Link munities and create and Leverage oeconomic opportunities for state and private investment， entrepreneurs and workmen. At the same time， involving smart infrastructure， cleaenergy and ecological cities， the Initiative calls for protectioof environment and heritage as part of a cultural exchange.
These high set goals cannot be reach without creating a new and solid foundatioaside of the o[d BrettoWoods System. Belt and Road Initiative is developing a new model of global governance， a new financiaL architecture， new financial institutions and multilateral development banks.
More tha60 percent of the world's populatioimore thaa hundred nations are involved. Crpating Megatrends highlights the opportunities， challenges and risks th：s grand and experimontal project is facing.
目錄
Introductioto a high potential project l
Chapter One IntroductioInto China's Belt and Road Initiative l
Thinking local acting global
Increase the quality of exports
Proceeding oever higher levels
Chapter Two B&R; ithe global context
The political aspect of B&R;
The econonuc reach of B&R;
At the crossroadl
China's changing image
Keeping the momentum of growth
Infrastructure works to assure market accessibility
Strategically shifting growth
China's B&R; risk considerations
Security through economic progress and hope
Chapter Three The Creatioof a Megatrend
Regional and intemational cooperatioinstead of confrontation
The Belt and Road： Visions and Question
Questio1： What does the Belt and Road stand for
Questio2： What are the historical roots of the Belt and Road
Questio3： What are the 2lst century routes of B&Rl;
The Belt and Road Initiative： Six Economic Corridors
Spanning Asia， Europe and Africa l
The six key routes：
The six strategic international economic co-operatiocorridors：
The six international economic co-operatiocorridors
1． The new Eurasia Land Bridge
2． The China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor
3． China-Central Asia- West Asia Economic Corridor
4． China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor
5． China-PakistaEconomic Corridor
6． Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor
China's role as a marine superpower
……
Chapter Four Questio5： What are the continents involved
Chapter Five Questio6： Which are the countries joining l
Chapter Six Questio7： How will the Belt and Road be funded
Chapter Eight Questio9： What are B&R; sector strategies
Chapter Nine Questio10： What are China's six domestic B&R; strategies
Chapter TeQuestio11： Will the yuabee a reserve currency
Chapter EleveB&R;'s Environmental Policy
Chapter Twelve GreeFinance ia GreeSilk Road
Chapter ThirteeRe-inventing Globalization
Silk Road Timeline
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
作者介紹
Doris Naisbitt， aobserver of global social, economic and political trends.Director of the Naisbitt China Institute. co-author of Global Game Change : Howthe Globat Southeraett Witt Reshape Our World IJanuary zoisL China'sMegatrends: Eight Pillars of a New Society, The China Model and InnovatioiChina.Iadditioto her research ofuture global developments Doris Naisbitt isdedicated to foster personal growth. Xinhua. the official press agency of Chinacalled her the 'global philosopher for China's youth'. Her personaL experiencethat one castart a successful career Later iLife has inspired audiences and encouraged people to reinvent their owLives.
How to make the most of your talents was the red Line of Ooris Naisbitt's biweekly columiChina Youth Daily, China's second Largest newspaper. Her columns were collectively published ithe book: How to Get Where You Want to Go. To bridge cultural differences betweeChina and the US and to find and build omogrounds is the story Line her book Mai-LiMy China.
Doris Naisbitt is guest professor at Beijing ForeigStudies University, she holds protessorships at prestfgious Nankai University and JiliUniversity, and at YunnaUniversity and Skolkovo OpeUniversity Moscow as well as a honorary Doctor of South Korea's Pukyong National University.
JohNaisbitt, author of the # 1 New York Times bestseller Megatrends, has beeithe Limelight of the publishing worLd ever since the book was published 1982. It remained othe New York Times bestsetler for almost two years, mostLy as number one. Megatrends was one of publishing's greatest success stories, selling more tha1t milliocopies i57 countries. The Watt Street Journal called JohNaisbitt's work 'triumphantly usefuL...taking bearings iall directions and giving us the courage to do the same.'
t-kgatrends was followed by internationaL bestsellers: Re-inventing the Corporatioi1 9as, Megatrands 2000 i1990. Megatrends for Wome1 991 . Global Paradox 1 992, Megatrends Asia 1995. High Tech High Touch, 1 999 and MindSet! i2006.
JohNaisbitt holds 21 honorary doctor degrees and protessorships from American, Chinese and RussiaUniversities and is honorary Doctor of South Korea's Pukyong National University.
Ihis early career JohNaisbitt was aexecutive at Kadak and IBM. At age 34 JohNaisbitt was appointed assistant secretary of educatioto President JohKennedy. After the president's assassinatiohe was appointed special assistant to President Lyndo_lohnson. Urged by the social and racial turbulences iAmerica's cities JohNaisbitt begato analyse social economic and political developments ithe US. which ted to publishing Megatrends i1982.
Doris and JohNaisbitt
After working together as publisher and author from 1995 to 2000, JohNaisbitt and Doris Naisbitt. his former GermaLanguage publisher, married i2000 and begatheir collaboratioas co-authors. They speak to audiences iAsia, LatiAmerica, Africa, Europe and the US, and have appeared omany televisioprograms, writtefor first-tier publications, and addressed numerous government and policymaking institutions.
Laurence J. Brahm， is ainternational crisis mediatiolawyer and developmental economist. He is founder of the HimalayaConsensus, a regionaL multi-stakeholder multi-lateral process dedicated to the preventioof conftict over water resources due to climate disruption.
Betwee2013-2015. as Senior Advisor to China's Ministry of Environmental Protectiohe was Lead drafter of 'EcologicaL Civilization-. China's 'greeprint' for renewable energy and water conservation. During this period he also served as advisor to Bhutan's National Environmental Commission. I2015 Iceland's President Olafur Ragnar Grimssoinvited him to serve othe HimaLaya - Third
Pole Circle, a panel forming poLicy responses to glacial melt caused by cLimate change. I2012 as NGO spokespersoto the United Nations Earth Summit 2012
IRio+20J, he was seLected by ScenaRio as one of the '100 OpinioLeaders Advising R1o+20'. I2010 he received the UNDP Award for Bio-Diversity and
CuLturaL ProtectioiChina presented by Jane Goodall. I2008 China Central Televisioselected him as the only foreigner among teindividuals recognized tor contributing to China's three decades of econamic reforms and opening.
As explorer and documentary film director, betwee2002-2009 he Led a series ofthree expeditions across the ainghai-Tibet pLateau searching for the mythical kingdom of Shangri-la, for which he was elected Fellow International of the New York ExpLorer's Club i2015. I2016, dubbed 'The Millennium Expedi-tions' by Three Shadows Photography Art Center, the 'Searching for Shangri-la' documentary series received the National Geographic Air and Water Conserva-tioAward for raising awareness of the glabal climate crisis.I2017. the School of International Journalism and Communicatian, Beijing ForeigStudies University, appointed him 'People-to-People Ambassador for Cultural Communications othe Belt and Road Initiative'.
文摘
《Creating Megatrends：The Belt and Road》：
Oa global scale China presents B&R; as part: of a 'democratizationof intemational relations' and the transitiofrom a westem dominatedeconomic and political framework to a multipolar economic and politicalorder iwhich China plays aadequate role at the core of global affairsand a leading role iemerging economies.
The Belt and Road (B&R;) will bee aengine for China'sgrowth, and it will feed the demand of developing neighbors andprovide infrastructure for the regions along its routes. The aim is tocreate aefficient, sustained road, rail and shipping work betweenChina, Asia, Europe, Africa, and, ithe longer-term extension, LatiAmerica. One goal is to shortethe time of bulk consumer goods' transports to Europe. It is expected to cut overland travel from Beijing to Londoto just two days, a trip that i2016 took 15 days.
Givethe prehensive impact of such ainitiative it is no surprise that it does not only face enthusiastic and positive but also critical and evehostile reactions. As we already wrote, it involves economic, political, and geopolitical considerations and strategies.
There are not only wide-ranging differences ipolitical systems, histories, cultures, religions and ideologies, but also different ideas and approaches ihow to deal with contemporary economic and social matters. Some countries along the different routes are iunstable political and/or economic conditions. The key to stability will be to operate oa modenominator that allows connecting and cooperating as well as keeping enough space to pay attentioto autonomous needs. While China without doubt is the initiator and
driver of B&R;, its affirmatioto create partnerships opar with all
countries involved will help to calm dowskepticism and create trust.
According to the World Trade Organizatio(WTO), the total amount of merchandise traded globally i2015 reached $16.5 trillion.
What will be the impact of the new trading routes, which will embrace 62.55 percent of the world's populatioand 28.6 percent of the world's GDP This is a questiothat the govemments and businesses of all countries will need to answer ithe near future, because this new trade route is being built, and it will usher ia new world trade order,all at a time wheglobal trade has slowed from the 7 percent annual growth it reached prior to the 2008 financial crisis, to 1.5 percent i2015 and 2016.
Looking back at three decades of South and North East Asia economic development, the share of manufacturing iGDP rose above 25 percent iSouth East Asia and 30 percent iNorth East Asia. Ithe tail of the rapid gTowth of manufacturing, the employment rate and productivity rose, as well.
At the same time, improvements were made ithe skills of workers, by better training of management and the expertise and efforts of increasingly global thinking entrepreneurs. But despite all the achievements, export-processing trade has declined. China's total exports fell to minus 1.8 i2015 and minus 2 percent i2016 (GACC, General Administratio of Customs of China) .
……
序言
用戶評價
作為一個對國際政治經濟學有著濃厚興趣的讀者，我總是在尋找那些能夠提供深刻洞見、啓發思考的書籍。《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》這個書名，瞬間就吸引瞭我的注意，因為它觸及瞭我一直以來所關注的兩個核心要素：趨勢的形成以及“一帶一路”這一具體議題。我希望這本書能超越簡單的新聞報道或政策解讀，深入挖掘“巨型趨勢”是如何被“創造”齣來的。在我看來，“趨勢”的形成並非自然而然，而是多種因素交織作用的結果，而“創造”一詞則暗示著某種主動的、有意識的構建過程。我好奇的是，作者是如何解析“一帶一路”這一復雜的倡議，使其成為一個“巨型趨勢”的？它背後是否存在某種深遠的戰略設計？書中是否會探討“一帶一路”對全球經濟秩序、地緣政治格局以及國際閤作模式可能帶來的長遠影響？我期待這本書能夠提供一種全新的分析框架，讓我能夠理解，如何識彆和評估那些可能重塑未來世界的重大發展動嚮。它或許能夠解答我心中關於“一帶一路”的諸多疑問，例如它在多大程度上代錶著一種新的全球化模式，它將如何影響不同國傢和地區的經濟發展，以及它是否會引發新的全球性挑戰。我希望這本書能夠給我帶來耳目一新的認知，並激發我進一步思考全球未來發展的方嚮。
評分一本新書的問世總是令人興奮，尤其是當它觸及瞭當前全球政治經濟舞颱上最引人注目的議題時。這本書的標題，"Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road"，立刻抓住瞭我的眼球。它似乎承諾著一種深刻的洞察，一種對未來趨勢如何被塑造的解讀。我對此書的期待，不僅僅是關於“一帶一路”倡議本身的描述，更在於它如何被“創造”齣來，以及它將如何成為一種“巨型趨勢”。“巨型趨勢”這個詞本身就蘊含著巨大的力量和變革，它暗示著我們即將閱讀的內容，可能不僅僅是關於一個區域性的發展項目，而是關於一場可能重塑全球格局的運動。我想象著書中會探討那些推動“一帶一路”從一個概念走嚮現實的驅動力，是經濟的，還是地緣政治的？是深思熟慮的戰略，還是曆史機遇的産物？我很期待書中能深入分析“一帶一路”所蘊含的宏大敘事，它在多大程度上代錶著一種新的全球治理模式，或者是在現有秩序下的某種調整。這本書或許能幫助我們理解，在信息爆炸、瞬息萬變的時代，如何辨彆和把握那些真正具有長遠影響的“巨型趨勢”，以及它們是如何在幕後被精心編織和推動的。它或許還能提供一個觀察視角，讓我們看到，一些看似地方性的倡議，是如何通過其內在的邏輯和外部的閤力，最終演變成影響全球的重大事件。我渴望從中找到一些關於宏觀敘事建構和力量匯聚的答案。
評分我一直對那些能夠提供全新視角，挑戰既有認知的書籍情有獨鍾。當我在書店裏看到《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》時，一種直覺告訴我，這可能就是這樣一本能夠滿足我求知欲的書。標題中的“Creating”一詞尤其吸引我，它暗示著這本書並非僅僅是對“一帶一路”倡議現狀的描繪，而是對其背後更深層次的形成機製和戰略意圖的剖析。我設想著，作者可能是一位對國際關係、地緣經濟學有著深刻理解的學者或觀察傢，他/她能夠穿透錶象，揭示齣“一帶一路”是如何從一個設想，一步步演變成如今影響深遠的全球性項目。我特彆好奇的是，書中會如何探討“巨型趨勢”的形成過程。這種趨勢的産生，是必然的，還是偶然的？是單方麵的力量推動，還是多方博弈的結果？我期待書中能夠深入分析“一帶一路”在推動全球化新階段扮演的角色，它是否正在重新定義全球貿易、投資和互聯互通的規則？它對發展中國傢意味著什麼？對傳統強國又意味著什麼？我希望這本書能夠提供一些批判性的思考，讓我們不僅僅是接受“一帶一路”所呈現的麵貌，而是能夠理解其背後復雜的利益糾葛、戰略考量以及可能的長期後果。我期待這本書能激發我對於全球化進程本質的更深入思考，以及對於未來世界格局演變的洞察。
評分對於任何一個關心世界發展脈絡的人來說，“一帶一路”倡議無疑是一個繞不開的話題。然而，許多關於它的討論往往停留在錶層，缺乏對深層動因和未來走嚮的深入探究。正是基於這樣的背景，一本名為《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》的書籍，猶如一道曙光，照亮瞭我對這個議題的求知之路。我之所以如此期待這本書，是因為它似乎承諾著一種超越尋常的解讀。“Creating Megatrends”這個標題，便充滿瞭力量感和前瞻性。它暗示著，這本書將不僅僅是關於“一帶一路”本身，更是關於“一帶一路”如何被“創造”齣來，以及它如何演變成一種不可忽視的“巨型趨勢”。我迫切地想知道，究竟是什麼樣的力量，什麼樣的理念，什麼樣的戰略規劃，能夠將一個區域性的倡議，提升到“巨型趨勢”的高度？這本書是否會深入探討“一帶一路”背後的宏觀經濟邏輯，例如全球資源配置的再優化、新興市場的發展機遇，抑或是對傳統地緣政治格局的挑戰？我希望它能為我打開一扇窗，讓我看到，一個宏大的願景是如何通過一係列周密的布局和持續的行動，最終在全球舞颱上留下深刻的印記。我期待書中能夠提供一些深刻的見解，幫助我理解，在當今這個快速變化的時代，我們如何纔能更清晰地認識和把握那些正在形成中的、具有顛覆性力量的“巨型趨勢”。
評分我始終相信，理解世界最有效的方式之一，就是去探究那些正在塑造我們未來的宏大敘事。《Creating Megatrends: The Belt and Road》這個書名，就精準地捕捉到瞭我的這種好奇心。它預示著，這本書將不僅僅是關於一個地理區域或一個具體的國傢戰略，而是關於一種更廣泛、更深遠的影響力——“巨型趨勢”的形成。我之所以對它充滿期待，是因為“Creating Megatrends”這個詞組本身就極具吸引力。它錶明，這本書將探討的，不是趨勢的被動發生，而是其主動的“創造”過程。我渴望從中瞭解，究竟是什麼樣的力量，什麼樣的策略，使得“一帶一路”倡議能夠脫穎而齣，並被定義為一種能夠改變世界格局的“巨型趨勢”。這本書是否會深入剖析“一帶一路”背後所蘊含的宏觀經濟邏輯，例如全球産能過剩的消化、資源分配的再平衡，或是新興市場的發展動能？它是否會探討，在多極化和全球化交織的時代背景下，“一帶一路”如何成為連接不同區域、促進共同發展的強大引擎？我期待這本書能夠提供一個獨特的視角，讓我能夠超越錶麵的新聞報道，去洞察那些驅動全球變革的深層力量，並理解“巨型趨勢”是如何在復雜的國際環境中被孕育、發展並最終成型的。這本書無疑是我希望獲得的，關於理解全球化新時代脈絡的一把鑰匙。
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