Upheaval

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Jared Diamond
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Little, Brown and Company 2019-5-7 Hardcover 9780316409131

具体描述

Jared Diamond, a noted polymath, is Professor of Geography at the University of California, Los Angeles. Among his many awards are the U.S. National Medal of Science, Japan’s Cosmos Prize, a MacArthur Foundation Fellowship, a Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction, and election to the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He is the author of the international best-selling books Guns, Germs, and Steel, Collapse, Why Is Sex Fun?, The World until Yesterday, and The Third Chimpanzee, and is the presenter of TV documentary series based on three of those books.

In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.

In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?

Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.

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##语言表达力、笔力很一般。史料老生常谈。谈发展趋势和应对,谈剧变,居然还在翻6、70年代的旧帐,对于软件技术、网络应用普及、IT业对世界形势的影响居然提都不提?也难怪,作者说了他不会用电脑...

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##作者准备这部书的6年间包括落笔时绝对不会预料到2020年这场突如其来的疫情,但他在书中的分析和预测,今天来看,一步步地更加接近于现实。 围绕着12个“影响国家危机结果的因素”,作者以芬兰(芬苏之战)、日本(明治维新)、德国(一战、二战)、澳大利亚(身份回归)、智利...  

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##作者对中国的解读不知道是停留在哪个年代,难以认同,拿出的优劣对比之处早已发生改变。尤其”the biggest single disadvantage that will prevent China from ever catching up with the U.S. in average income per person—as long as the U.S. remains democratic and China remains non-democratic.” 不论哪种体制,最终还是得看最高决策人的水平;另,感谢美帝披着外衣的『民主』,不然不会有川某上台,天天给娱乐新闻加料。期待美帝将民主进行到底!

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##《剧变》

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##One strong feeling is that having the form of countries as today, it seems inherent to have a world full of conflicts; ps, wish we can also have a similar self-reflection...pps, would't it be the case that emphasizing national identity may lead to nationalism?

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##芬兰的经验是乌克兰应该汲取的 后几章没什么意思 3.5

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