Upheaval

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Jared Diamond
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Little, Brown and Company 2019-5-7 Hardcover 9780316409131

具体描述

Jared Diamond, a noted polymath, is Professor of Geography at the University of California, Los Angeles. Among his many awards are the U.S. National Medal of Science, Japan’s Cosmos Prize, a MacArthur Foundation Fellowship, a Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction, and election to the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. He is the author of the international best-selling books Guns, Germs, and Steel, Collapse, Why Is Sex Fun?, The World until Yesterday, and The Third Chimpanzee, and is the presenter of TV documentary series based on three of those books.

In his earlier bestsellers Guns, Germs and Steel and Collapse, Jared Diamond transformed our understanding of what makes civilizations rise and fall. Now, in the final book in this monumental trilogy, he reveals how successful nations recover from crisis through selective change — a coping mechanism more commonly associated with personal trauma.

In a dazzling comparative study, Diamond shows us how seven countries have survived defining upheavals in the recent past — from US Commodore Perry’s arrival in Japan to the Soviet invasion of Finland to Pinochet’s regime in Chile — through a process of painful self-appraisal and adaptation, and he identifies patterns in the way that these distinct nations recovered from calamity. Looking ahead to the future, he investigates whether the United States, and the world, are squandering their natural advantages, on a path towards political conflict and decline. Or can we still learn from the lessons of the past?

Adding a psychological dimension to the awe-inspiring grasp of history, geography, economics, and anthropology that marks all Diamond’s work, Upheaval reveals how both nations and individuals can become more resilient. The result is a book that is epic, urgent, and groundbreaking.

用户评价

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##国家危机的状况解释和背景分析等都很不错,可作者一心想要把归纳总结历史事件当作社会科学来做定量分析这点难以接受,还一直说数据找变量,作为生理学家的基本素养呢?不过作者估计也不是正统的搞科学的,不然也不会写这么多文化相关的书。

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##应对危机的12个建议: 承认危机 接受解决危机的责任 确定危机的边界 求助外界 借鉴榜样 自我力量/国家凝聚力 诚实地自我评估 应对危机的经验 耐心 灵活性 核心价值观 个人约束/国家地缘限制

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##《剧变》

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##类比个人对危机应对,以此为框架看国家的危机应对,听起来有点民科但却也确实带来不少洞见。分析的例子中,有国内大家较为熟悉的如日本明治维新、德国二战后重建与两德统一,也有至少我个人不熟悉的如芬兰与苏联的冬季战争、澳大利亚的身份认同危机、智利的军政府政变等,还是很涨见识的。全书最后谈当下美国所面临的危机也顺便讨论了与中国的冲突,可惜局限于美国视角只能讲一些老生常谈的点,像贫富差距、左右党争之类,若是能站在中国的角度写当下的危机应该会有意思得多吧。当今朝廷强调“底线思维”,算是抛弃了幻想,做着最坏的打算最好的准备;按照书中框架衡量,这样是否真能做到承担责任,明确问题,准确评估自我,且保有足够耐心,就只能在多年后由历史评述了。

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##对6个国家的危机描写得挺到位,能让读者加深对这些国家的认识,对分析危机的框架设计也还不错,值得借鉴。然而,本书对危机产生和解决的深层逻辑缺乏有效剖析,只是做了一些简单的总结和对比,过于蜻蜓点水。全书的最后对全球危机的解决建议也很水,只是简单的正确的废话。 此...  

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##Very insightful book. Jared老爷子的书真的是没话说,希望每个对现代史感兴趣的人都读一读。前半部分扫盲,后半部分从新的角度分析国际问题,其中美中比较很有意思,关于展望世界的部分有些cliche,but still a great book in general! 另外,虽然老爷子在后记中提到自己数据和样本的稀缺性,但整本书很多问题的解释都是“according my friend”,难免让人觉得难以信服(但人家毕竟是Jared Diamond,他的朋友的可信度肯定是很大的…)唉,我要是在这个年龄也能看过世界变迁,往来无白丁,也算不枉走一遭了~

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